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San Diego FinanceSTOCKS WITH SCOTT: Smart Investing For Income
Believe it or not, not all dividends are "good" With interest rates near historical lows and the 10-year Treasury yielding a meager 2.9 percent, it is natural for investors to search for ever higher yields. Since bond prices are subject to capital losses if and when interest rates were to go up, stock dividends represent a viable place for investors to begin their income quest. But are all dividends the same? Are all dividends inherently “good?” ![]() Most people think that dividends are in and of themselves good things. This is a myth. There is good yield and there is bad yield. It is vitally important to know the difference at all times, but even more so in market environments such as today, where many product makers are pushing - and investors reaching long and far - for high yield. It’s not the fact that a company does pay a dividend which is meaningful; it’s the fact that it can. I’ll explain. You’ve no doubt heard the expression “If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.” Well, in the world of investing, if it sounds too good to be true, it definitely is. Often periodicals such as the Wall Street Journal or Barron’s will print a table of high-yielding securities and you will occasionally find listed companies and funds paying out 10 percent or more. It is very important to dig deeper to determine the source of this yield. There are two major red flags that you need to look for. The first is when a company’s earnings do not adequately cover its distributions. To assess this, look at the company’s payout ratio which is the dividend per share divided by a company’s earnings per share. This important statistic, which is readily available on most financial research sites, indicates how likely the company is to continue to pay, or better yet increase, its dividend over time. A payout ratio of less than 50 percent is preferable. If a company’s payout ratio starts heading north of 70 percent due to a decline in earnings (by definition, if earnings are shrinking and dividends are constant, the payout ratio will increase), this is a sign that the company may be getting ready to cut its dividend. And if its payout ratio is over 100 percentfor several quarters, do your yield searching elsewhere. A company cannot forever finance a dividend payment if it is not making more money than it is paying out – plain and simple. Stay away from these companies as the last thing you want to do is buy into a company just before it slashes its dividend (a slashing of the stock price invariably to follow). Another scenario for a potentially suspect high-yielding security is a fund that makes a so-called “controlled payout.” An example would be a closed-end fund trading at $10 per share fixing its dividend payout at $1.30 per share so that the fund yields 13 percent. In most cases, however, the fund or the underlying securities it holds, are not earning enough to cover the dividend. So how is the fund paying a dividend? The fund is simply returning principal slowly to shareholders over time. As an extreme example and to hammer home the point, let’s say a promoter advertised an investment that guaranteed a 20 percent annual dividend stream. Sounds too good to be true, right? Definitely. You give him $100 and for five consecutive years he hands you back $20. If he is not earning more on the original money than he is returning to you in the form of a “dividend” then eventually the money runs out and the game is over. The 20 percent yield provided a total return on investment (ROI) of precisely zero. This is the bad kind of yield. Buyer beware. The mere fact that a company or fund pays a dividend is not in and of itself a good thing. It’s important to know how a company is paying its dividend. Look for companies that are financing their dividend through continued earnings growth and solid financials, and steer clear of those companies with abnormally large payout ratios. Dividends can be a great source of income in this low interest rate environment. Be smart, yield before reaching for that yield, and those checks will keep coming.
![]() Scott Kyle About the author: Scott Kyle is CEO/Chief Investment Officer of Coastwise Capital Group LLC, headquartered in La Jolla. Coastwise Capital Group is a boutique money management firm catering to high net-worth individuals and institutions. Kyle is the author of The Power Curve: Smart Investing Using Dividends, Options, and the Magic of Compounding. To learn more about Coastwise, call 858-454-6670, or go to coastwisegroup.com. (The information in this article is strictly for educational and illustrative purposes and is not an attempt to furnish personalized investment advice or services.) More by this author |
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